Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.251804e-03 0.001409 0.001567 0.001736 0.001913 0.002091 0.002284
2025-09-07 1.051165e-03 0.001281 0.001519 0.001781 0.002060 0.002347 0.002662
2025-09-14 8.442173e-04 0.001123 0.001421 0.001757 0.002123 0.002504 0.002930
2025-09-21 7.157980e-04 0.001037 0.001389 0.001796 0.002245 0.002719 0.003254
2025-09-28 6.325507e-04 0.000992 0.001396 0.001871 0.002402 0.002969 0.003612
2025-10-05 5.213477e-04 0.000903 0.001346 0.001876 0.002477 0.003124 0.003866
2025-10-12 4.402470e-04 0.000841 0.001321 0.001905 0.002575 0.003302 0.004140
2025-10-19 3.464793e-04 0.000754 0.001259 0.001885 0.002613 0.003412 0.004336
2025-10-26 2.749411e-04 0.000686 0.001215 0.001884 0.002669 0.003537 0.004548
2025-11-02 2.050358e-04 0.000612 0.001157 0.001861 0.002697 0.003628 0.004718
2025-11-09 1.585788e-04 0.000564 0.001129 0.001871 0.002762 0.003759 0.004931
2025-11-16 1.020971e-04 0.000488 0.001060 0.001827 0.002759 0.003811 0.005054
2025-11-23 5.264104e-05 0.000419 0.001010 0.001825 0.002829 0.003972 0.005331
2025-11-30 2.219643e-05 0.000370 0.000984 0.001853 0.002937 0.004180 0.005664
2025-12-07 3.502111e-07 0.000295 0.000912 0.001818 0.002969 0.004299 0.005898
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000257 0.000892 0.001850 0.003080 0.004510 0.006236
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000239 0.000903 0.001922 0.003239 0.004778 0.006638
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000195 0.000864 0.001924 0.003310 0.004941 0.006920
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000166 0.000845 0.001951 0.003412 0.005138 0.007240
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000124 0.000794 0.001930 0.003451 0.005260 0.007472
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000094 0.000759 0.001928 0.003512 0.005406 0.007730
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000062 0.000710 0.001904 0.003543 0.005515 0.007943
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000044 0.000687 0.001915 0.003617 0.005674 0.008214